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La geoestad stica en el comportamiento de la variabilidad espacial de Aphis spp y Alabama argillacea en el cultivo de algod n Tannure Claudia L J Contreras Gladis B Mazza Silvia M Schroeder Juan A Polak Marcelo G Avanza Mar a M Trabajo Financiado por la SGCyT UNNE 1 Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias UNNE Sargento Cabral 2131 3400 Corrientes Argentina E mail cltannure O agr unne edu ar 2 EEA S enz Pe a INTA ANTECEDENTES El adecuado control de insectos plaga es uno de los aspectos m s importantes en el manejo del cultivo del algodonero Gossypium hirsutum L tanto desde el punto de vista econ mico como ecol gico Castella et al 1999 Dai XF et al 1996 Mazza de Gaiad et al 1996 El conocimiento del comportamiento espacial de las poblaciones de los insectos plaga en los diferentes estad os del cultivo es un factor trascendente en la selecci n de t cnicas de muestreo para la detecci n del momento ptimo de la aplicaci n de pr cticas de control La Estad stica Cl sica brinda t cnicas adecuadas para el estudio de la variabilidad espacial y las t cnicas de Geoestad stica desarrolladas primeramente para el estudio de la variabilidad espacial de minerales aplicadas en estudios geol gicos y posteriormente trasladadas a otras reas del conocimiento pueden ser aplicadas con xito en el an lisis del comportamiento de poblaciones biol gicas La Geostad stica es la aplicaci n de la teor a de las variables regionalizadas es decir las variables que presentan una estructura espacial de correlaci n a la estimaci n de procesos o fen menos espaciales Desde un punto de vista te rico la Geostad stica se basa en conceptos y herramientas ya existentes en otros campos de la Estad stica como procesos estoc sticos estacionarios t cnicas de an lisis de la variancia y predicci n por m nimos cuadrados con una extensi n al caso de funciones aleatorias en dos o m s dimensiones Chica Olmo et al 1995 La interpretaci n probabil stica de una variable regionalizada como realizaci n de una funci n aleatoria requiere inferir por lo menos en parte la funci n de distribuci n de la variable para lo cual es necesario introducir hip tesis adicionales sobre la variable que tienen que ver con la homogeneidad espacial de la funci n aleatoria Por ejemplo suponen que la funci n aleatoria es estacionaria puede pensarse como equivalente a que se repite en el espacio y esa repetici n proporciona la informaci n de muchas realizaciones de la misma funci n y permite la inferencia Samper Calvete y Carrera Ram rez 1990 En Geoestad stica lineal es suficiente la estimaci n de los dos primeros momentos de la distribuci n El primer momento E Z x es conocido c mo deriva o tambi n tendencia Como momentos de segundo orden de Z x con respecto a m x son importantes la varianza Var Z x E Z x M4 ME qu
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